What Do the MACD and RSI Indicators Reveal About ADA's Current Price Trend?

MACD and RSI indicators suggest potential rebound for ADA

Technical indicators currently paint a revealing picture for Cardano (ADA) in November 2025. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has moved into oversold territory between 20-40, suggesting significant selling pressure has potentially reached exhaustion. Historical data shows ADA typically experiences strong reversals from these RSI levels, with previous rebounds generating substantial upside momentum.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator simultaneously shows a concerning crossover with its signal line, indicating short-term bearish pressure remains. However, this technical setup often precedes meaningful trend reversals when combined with oversold RSI readings.

ADA's price has declined from $0.8153 on October 10th to the current $0.5565, representing a 31.7% drop. This significant correction aligns with broader market weakness, as Bitcoin recently posted four consecutive bearish sessions. Institutional interest remains strong, with Franklin Templeton operating a Cardano node and Norwegian exchange NBX developing a Cardano-based stablecoin, providing fundamental support for a potential recovery if ADA can hold above critical support levels.

ADA price struggling to break $0.83-$0.85 resistance zone

Cardano's ADA price has been consolidating near the critical $0.83-$0.85 resistance zone throughout late August and early September 2025. This price level has consistently acted as a significant barrier, with multiple rejection points preventing upward momentum. Technical analysis indicates that ADA has made several attempts to breach this resistance but has faced selling pressure each time.

Market data reveals the intensity of this struggle through recent price action:

Despite the current consolidation phase, several analysts remain optimistic about ADA's potential breakout. Fibonacci projections suggest that successfully clearing this resistance could open the pathway toward higher price targets. Major Cardano holders have accumulated over 70 million ADA tokens within a seven-day period, indicating institutional confidence in the asset's long-term potential.

The Elliott Wave Theory analysis further supports this view, suggesting that ADA/BTC pair sits in a long-term "buy zone" with projections pointing toward mid-channel resistance if the current resistance is eventually broken. Traders should monitor trading volumes closely, as increased buying pressure could signal an imminent breakthrough of this stubborn resistance level.

Long-term outlook: ADA may need to retest 200-day moving average

Cardano's price trajectory indicates a potential need to retest the 200-day moving average, currently positioned near $0.74, before establishing a sustainable upward trend. Recent market volatility has pushed ADA below critical support levels following its sharp decline from August highs of approximately $1.02 to current levels around $0.55.

Technical indicators suggest this retest could serve as a foundation for future growth, particularly as the asset seeks equilibrium after recent bearish pressure. Historical price action demonstrates how such retests often precede significant rallies when accompanied by increased trading volume and network development milestones.

Despite short-term challenges, fundamental catalysts supporting ADA's long-term bullish case remain intact. The network maintains high staking participation rates while continuing to expand its decentralized application ecosystem. With approximately 81.29% of total supply currently in circulation, scarcity factors could amplify price movement when market sentiment shifts positive.

For ADA to realize these bullish projections, successfully retesting and holding above the 200-day moving average would represent a crucial first step toward reclaiming previous support zones and potentially challenging historical highs of $3.09 achieved in September 2021.

FAQ

Is ADA a good crypto?

ADA shows potential in the evolving crypto market. Its innovative technology and growing adoption make it an interesting option for investors in 2025.

Will ADA reach $10?

Yes, ADA could reach $10 by 2026. Experts predict growth based on increasing adoption and development of Cardano's smart contract platform.

How much will 1 Cardano be worth in 2030?

Based on current trends and market analysis, 1 Cardano could be worth approximately $1.89 by 2030. This projection reflects potential growth in the cryptocurrency market.

Is Cardano a dead coin?

No, Cardano is not a dead coin. It remains active with ongoing developments and strong community support in 2025.